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Executive summary

Key observations for the period 01 May 2025 - 30 April 2026

  • The Flowminder-Digicel pipeline was interrupted from June to October 2025, with no data currently available for that period
  • Overall, most communal sections show stable population estimates or minor changes (±500 people) between May 2025 and April 2026.
  • In the Port-au-Prince Metropolitan Area (ZMPAP), the population of 2e Section Morne l'Hôpital (Port-au-Prince) increased by +11,250 people between Nov 2025 and April 2026. Population also increased in 1re Section St Martin (Delmas) (+4,310).
    • In contrast, the population of 2e Section des Varreux (Croix-Des-Bouquets) decreased (-5,170). 1re Section Turgeau (Port-au-Prince) experienced a sharp rise of over 6,000 people in November 2025, followed by a comparable rebound by January 2026. Both decreases are potentially due to armed attacks (ETT 83)
  • In South East, the population declined by 2,800 over the year, with the largest drops in 5e Section Bas de Grandou (Bainet) (-1,560) and in 3e Section Macary (Marigot) (-1,140).
  • In Artibonite, 2e Section Bois Neuf (Saint-Marc) increased by over 2,000 people in November 2025 followed by steady decrease over consecutive months, while 1re Section Deluge (Saint-Marc) declined by -2,140.
  • In Grand’Anse, an additional decrease was observed in 1re Section Basse Voldrogue (Jérémie) (-1,280) during the observation period.
  • The largest population increases outside ZMPAP were recorded in 6e Section Charrette (Saint-Marc, Artibonite) (+2,220), 1re Section Bourdet (Les Cayes, South) (+2,090), and 2e 1re Section Morne Rouge (Plaine du Nord, North) (+1,740).

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How to use this report

We provide population estimates that take into account population movements within Haiti, per month and per communal section. The current crisis has led to large population movements, particularly of internally displaced people (e.g. IOM round 9), which can result in population statistics becoming outdated over a few months, and therefore impairing preparedness efforts (e.g. hazard population exposure estimation, needs assessment, service and contingency planning).

Indicators presented

Estimated change: the difference in the estimated population between the first and last months of the 12 month reporting period, which does not reflect any monthly variation within.

For communal sections with fewer than 10 months of resident estimates during the reporting period, we do not make a trend classification (insufficient data). For monthly population estimates at the department level, we carry forward the latest estimate to fill missing months in a communal section so that the aggregated changes at the department level are only based on observed CDR-derived mobility.

For communal sections with fast changing populations, we categorised them as ‘increasing’, ‘decreasing’; ‘stable’, when there is little to no change; or as ‘fluctuating’ when large month-to-month changes prevented us from detecting a trend.

Data used

  • This report uses our v4.0 dataset (documentation, release notes), available at https://haiti.mobility-dashboard.org.
  • Monthly estimates of population per communal section (the “de facto” population) - derived from anonymous mobile phone data, weighted using survey data but unadjusted for population change due to births, deaths, immigration and emigration - only considering internal mobility in Haiti.

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About this report

Authors & contributors

This report was authored by the Flowminder Foundation, by Galina Veres and Roland Hosner, with the contribution of Christopher Brooks, Joachim Jellinek et Sophie Delaporte.

Galina Veres and Roland Hosner produced and analysed the mobility statistics and co-wrote the report; Christopher Brooks and Joachim Jellinek produced the CDR aggregates and maintained the pipeline; Roland Hosner also developed and applied the bias-adjustment and scaling method, and Sophie Delaporte supported with information product design, report review, translation, data visualisation and project coordination.

Acknowledgements

This study was made possible thanks to the anonymised mobile phone usage data provided by Digicel Haiti, which are aggregated by Flowminder via FlowKit to provide statistics.

This work has been made possible thanks to funding from Haiti's Fund for Economic and Social Assistance (FAES).

Data privacy & governance

No personal data, such as an individual’s identity, demographics, location, contacts or movements, is made available to the government or any other third party at any time. All results produced by Flowminder are aggregated results (for example, subscriber density in a given municipality), which means that they do not contain any information about individual subscribers.

This data is fully anonymised. This approach complies with the European Union’s General Data Protection Regulation (EU GDPR2016/679). Data is processed on a server installed behind the mobile network operator’s firewall in Haiti, and no personal data eaves the operator’s premises.

Data considerations

The estimates shown are our best current assessment of movements. However, there are a number of uncertainties. The information should be interpreted together with other available evidence.

Data used

This report uses our v4.0 dataset (documentation, release notes), available at https://haiti.mobility-dashboard.org.

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