Protracted crisis report: Impact of the Haiti crisis on population mobility for the period 01 March- 01 May 2026

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Executive summary

Part 1. Estimated population change within the Metropolitan Area of Port- au-Prince (ZMPAP) due to mobility

Key observations (March to May 2026)

1. The largest estimated population decreases occurred in sections 9e Section Bizoton in Carrefour (-3,960), 2e Section des Varreux in Croix-Des-Bouquets (-3,870), and 2e Section des Varreux in  Cité Soleil (-3,380), which are due to relocations within the ZMPAP.
2. The largest population increases can be observed in sections 3e Section Martissant in Port-au-Prince (+4,380), 1re Section St Martin in Delmas (+3,600), 3e Section Bellevue in Tabarre (+3,320) and 2e Section Morne l'Hopital in Port-au-Prince  (+2,430) also mainly due to relocations within the ZMPAP.
3. Generally, population change in communal sections of the ZMPAP has been driven by internal mobility within the ZMPAP (Table 1.1)
4. Our data do not show movements within each communal section and cannot be directly compared with the DTM reports for this reason (ETT-91, ETT-85.1), but the communal sections with population decreases (2e Section des Varreux in Croix-Des-Bouquets and 2e Section des Varreux in Cité Soleil) are those affected by armed violence  leading to high reported displacements according to DTM.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Population changes within sections of ZMPAP can be sudden; to put the latest months into perspective with the last five years, please see page 2. Overall, the population in the ZMPAP increased from February 2026 to May 2026, but only by 3,130 people (see p. 3 for  the mobility between the ZMPAP and the rest of Haiti, and p. 4 for five-year perspective on population changes in the ZMPAP and in the six other large urban areas)  Data used in this report can be accessed through https://haiti.mobility-dashboard.org/ 

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Part 2. Estimated population change of the 10 largest communal sections of the ZMPAP due to mobility.
Overview of the last ~5 year

Key observations (January 2022 to May 2026)

1. The Flowminder-Digicel pipeline was interrupted from June to October 2025, with no data currently available for that period.
2. The estimated population for most communal sections in the ZMPAP remained stable for the last seven months from November 2025 to May 2026.
3. 1re Section Turgeau section lost approximately 100,000 people since January 2024, though the estimated population was relatively stable from November 2025 to May 2026. 2e Section des Varreux section in Croix-Des-Bouquets also shows a falling trend in the estimated population from January 2022.
4. Two sections show an increasing population trend since January 2022: 1re Section St Martin (by approximately +40,000 people) and 3e Section Bellevue (by approximately +10,000 people).
5. The estimated population of 11e Section Riviere Froide (Carrefour) has decreased by more than 20,000 residents from October 2024 to January 2024, followed by a stable period. 

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Part 3. Estimated population change from mobility between the Metropolitan Area of Port-au-Prince
(ZMPAP) and the rest of Haiti (November 2025 to May 2026)

Key observations (February 2026 to May 2026)

1. The estimated net flow between the Metropolitan Area of Port-au-Prince (ZMPAP) and the rest of Haiti from November 2025 to May 2026 is relatively balanced compared to any other period in the time series (starting February 2022, Figure 3.3) for observable communal sections. Fewer people are arriving to (inflows) and leaving (outflows) ZMPAP, indicating reduced overall mobility.
1. The estimated population of ZMPAP decreased from November 2025 to February 2026 (-2,310),
2. But these decreases were offset by increases between February and May 2026 (+3,130).
3. Alternation of increases and decreases of ZMPAP population has been observed numerous times since 2022 (Figure 3.3).
2. Sections with net inflow since February from ZMPAP (in pink) were mainly in communes Mirebalais, Pétion-Ville, and Hinche (Table 3.1, Figure 3.2). Sections with net outflow to ZMPAP were in communes Marigot, Belle Anse and Kenscoff (in blue) (Table 3.2, Figure 3.2).
3. The effect of mobility with the ZMPAP on the estimated populations of communal sections elsewhere in Haiti changes over time. From February to May 2026, the overall mobility has increased  in comparison to the period from November 2025 to February 2026 (Figs.3.1 and 3.2). From November 2025 to February 2026, the majority of mobility was represented as net inflows from ZMPAP in particular to the Tiburon Peninsula (Fig. 3.1 in pink). Then from February to May 2026, there were more communal sections with net outflows to ZMPAP (Fig. 3.2 in blue).

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Part 4. Estimated population change of 7 large urban areas due to mobility. Overview of the last ~5 years: January 2022 to May 2026

Key observations (2022 to 2026)

1. The estimated population of ZMPAP has declined overall since January 2022 and remains just below 2.92 million since March 2025.
2. From November 2025 to May 2026, the estimated population of ZMPAP as a whole has remained relatively constant due to reduced mobility (lower inflows and outflows) and more balanced mobility (lower net flows) with the rest of Haiti (Fig. 3.3).
3. In contrast to ZMPAP,  the estimated population in other urban areas has increased overall between January 2022 and January 2026, albeit at varying rates. While the population in Cap-Haïtien was stable until 2024, it has increased by 2.5% between January 2024 and January 2025, and has remained stable since at 3.15 million
4. Between January and May 2026, the estimated population has slightly decreased in Cap-Haïtien, Saint-Marc and Jérémie (by less than 0.4%).

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Data used

• This report uses our v4.0 dataset (documentation, release notes), available at https://haiti.mobility-dashboard.org.
  

Visit our Haiti Mobility Data Platform.